"Sir, the possibility of successfully navigating the Ivy League is approximately .495 to 1!"
A friend who asked to remain anonymous sent me a spreadsheet this morning including all 20 possible outcomes (16 decided in the regular season, four decided with a playoff) for Princeton and Harvard's remaining games.
Using Ken Pomeroy's predictive model, Harvard is at 50.5% to win the league, Princeton is at 49.5%.
The chances of a one game playoff for the NCAA bid are 36.4%.
See a full table of games and scenarios after the jump.
The most "likely" regular-season scenario is Harvard sweeping their last weekend, then Princeton beating Penn on Tuesday to force a playoff. There's a 31.6% chance of that.
Princeton has a 26.4% chance of sweeping Dartmouth and Harvard on the road, thus clinching the title.
Harvard has a 61.0% chance of sweeping Penn and Princeton and clinching at least a share of its first Ivy title.
By all means click to enlarge.